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Written by Frode Skar, Financial Journalist.

Dollar slides to levels last seen in 2022

The US dollar has extended its decline in global currency markets, trading at levels not seen since 2022. The move comes as President Donald Trump publicly dismissed concerns about the weakening of the world’s primary reserve currency, instead portraying a softer dollar as beneficial for the American economy.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, recorded its sharpest daily drop since Trump announced his so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs earlier this year. Markets reacted swiftly after the president signaled that dollar strength is no longer a priority for his administration.

For central banks, institutional investors and governments worldwide, the dollar’s slide is far more than a short-term market fluctuation. As the backbone of global trade, reserves and commodity pricing, any sustained weakening of the US dollar represents a structural shift with far-reaching consequences.

Trump’s position: A weaker dollar as an economic tool

Donald Trump has long criticized what he views as currency manipulation by major trading partners such as China and Japan. He has repeatedly accused them of deliberately weakening their currencies to gain an unfair advantage in global trade.

Now, however, the Trump administration appears willing to tolerate — and potentially encourage — a weaker US dollar.

The president’s core argument is that a softer currency boosts the competitiveness of American exports, supports domestic manufacturing and helps bring industrial jobs back to US soil. This approach aligns closely with the broader MAGA economic agenda focused on re-industrialization and reducing dependence on global supply chains.

Financial markets, however, interpret these statements as a clear signal that currency stability is no longer a central pillar of US economic policy.

Why the dollar is weakening now

Eroding confidence in US economic leadership

Recent weeks have seen growing unease among global investors regarding US political and economic leadership. Aggressive trade rhetoric, unpredictable tariff threats and strained relations with traditional allies have contributed to what analysts describe as a renewed “Sell America” trade.

International investors have reduced exposure to US assets, including Treasury bonds, reallocating capital to other regions. As demand for US securities falls, downward pressure on the dollar intensifies.

Signals from the US Treasury

Further weakening sentiment came after the US Treasury hinted at potential intervention to support the Japanese yen. Any coordinated effort to stabilize the yen would likely involve selling dollars, reinforcing the downward trend in the US currency.

For currency traders, this marked a notable shift: the United States may now be actively considering dollar weakness as part of its broader economic strategy.

Concerns over Federal Reserve independence

Repeated political attacks on the Federal Reserve have unsettled markets. The dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency rests heavily on confidence in an independent and credible central bank.

If investors begin to doubt the Fed’s autonomy, the long-term credibility of the US dollar could be undermined.

Mounting pressure from US public finances

The US is running a budget deficit of roughly $600 billion, with no clear long-term plan to rein in spending or debt. Persistent fiscal imbalances add to concerns about the sustainability of the dollar’s value over time.

Gold and alternative assets benefit from dollar weakness

As the dollar weakens, investors are increasingly turning to traditional safe havens. Gold prices have surged to fresh record highs, climbing above $5,200 per ounce as demand accelerates.

Other real assets and alternative stores of value have also attracted inflows, reflecting a broader shift away from dollar-denominated holdings.

Mixed reaction in global equity markets

Equity markets have responded unevenly. European stocks opened mixed, while Asian markets posted gains after signals that US trade policy toward certain partners may soften.

Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision, looking for clues about the future path of US monetary policy.

A turning point for the global monetary system

The US dollar remains the dominant global reserve currency, but its unique position is increasingly being challenged. A growing number of countries are diversifying reserves, expanding bilateral trade in local currencies and seeking alternatives to dollar-centric financial systems.

While a weaker dollar may deliver short-term benefits for US exporters, the longer-term risk lies in eroding trust in the currency’s role as the world’s financial anchor.

Implications for consumers and businesses

For American consumers, a weaker dollar could translate into higher import prices and renewed inflationary pressures. For US businesses, particularly exporters, it may offer improved competitiveness abroad.

Globally, dollar weakness raises costs for countries with large dollar-denominated debt and increases volatility across currency and commodity markets.

More than a currency move

The current decline in the US dollar reflects deeper shifts in the global economic and political landscape. When the world’s most important currency becomes an explicit policy tool, the rules of the international system begin to change.

The key question is no longer whether the dollar will fluctuate, but whether the global economy is already preparing for a future in which the US dollar no longer stands unchallenged at the center of the financial system.

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